Can you elaborate on the xG models not picking up Bratt’s passes? Is it that they were coming from behind the net and that makes them viewed by the model as not high danger?
Yeah exactly. If you look on Money Puck, Brendan Smith’s goal was only worth 0.09 xGs. Hischier’s was worth 0.15. But those passes from Bratt basically made them unstoppable shots. Public xG models don’t account for royal road passes that well. That pass on Hischier’s goal is a good specific example. From below the goal line, but it had so much juice that it was worth a quality chance that won’t show up as one
Interesting. I know so little about these models but seems like the dangerousness of the pass should be judged moreso by where the recipient receives it
Can you elaborate on the xG models not picking up Bratt’s passes? Is it that they were coming from behind the net and that makes them viewed by the model as not high danger?
Yeah exactly. If you look on Money Puck, Brendan Smith’s goal was only worth 0.09 xGs. Hischier’s was worth 0.15. But those passes from Bratt basically made them unstoppable shots. Public xG models don’t account for royal road passes that well. That pass on Hischier’s goal is a good specific example. From below the goal line, but it had so much juice that it was worth a quality chance that won’t show up as one
Interesting. I know so little about these models but seems like the dangerousness of the pass should be judged moreso by where the recipient receives it